ANA Discussion Forum

General Category => AN Issues => Topic started by: rsteph on October 07, 2010, 09:56:11 pm

Title: What are the odds of getting an AN?
Post by: rsteph on October 07, 2010, 09:56:11 pm
I am a police officer 21+ years. In 2008 3.7 cm removed TransLab, paralysis 10 months, good movement returned but only about 60 percent so far.  There is another police officer across the hall from my office that had an AN removed in 2000.  Today I learned of another police officer with an AN working for the Dallas Police Department.  An obvious prevalence amoung our numbers.  I have known many who are deceased from brain tumors and others living with them who are or were Dallas Police Officers.  Does anyone have data on the odds of getting an AN?  I will be on a vacation starting tomorrow for wk/half with no internet access and I will return on Oct 21 so please don't think I am ignoring your replies. God Bless you all.
Title: Re: What are the odds of getting an AN?
Post by: Brewers7 on October 08, 2010, 07:35:15 am
I once read 1 in 100,000.  What are the odds of winning the lottery?  Surely we are next.
Title: Re: What are the odds of getting an AN?
Post by: Cheryl R on October 08, 2010, 07:52:11 am
We were told at the symposium now that it is more like 2 in 100,000.             Plus NF2 is only 5% of ANs.     
                                                 Cheryl R
Title: Re: What are the odds of getting an AN?
Post by: rsteph on October 08, 2010, 08:16:30 am
There are only 3500 police officers on our department.  Now there are three of us with ANs.  We have a problem if the odds are 2/200000...
Title: Re: What are the odds of getting an AN?
Post by: opp2 on October 08, 2010, 08:34:17 am
I'm a cop and I got one too. I often wonder if it was due to radar on the window of the cruiser. However, lots of guys out there have them on the right side.
Title: Re: What are the odds of getting an AN?
Post by: rsteph on October 08, 2010, 09:57:26 am
My AN was on my right side and that was the side I placed those old box like police radios to my head during the 90's.    We have had a number of officers with tumors.  I wish I could get the stats because with 3 AN's now in a population of 3000 is a high prevalence.  I am leaving to catch a flight now.  Keep in touch.
Title: Re: What are the odds of getting an AN?
Post by: HeadCase2 on October 08, 2010, 12:46:09 pm
  AN stats are usually quoted as an annual diagnosis rate, which is not the same the number of people in a population with AN.  Incidence Rate is how many are diagnosed with AN each year.  Prevalence is how many have the condition in a population.   If you use the 2 per 100,000 incidence rate and multiply if by, say, 20 years, gives us 40 people out of that 100,000 population would have AN (Prevalence).  40 per 100,000 works out to be 2 per 5000, which is very close to your 3 per 3500 number.
Regards,
  Rob